Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 62.316591 70.509862 78.954525 88.278074 98.253345 108.577585 120.042172
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 49.606676 61.238751 73.836774 88.368898 104.548227 121.895843 141.790921
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 42.030722 55.485679 70.608245 88.605102 109.192728 131.784152 158.227760
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 36.623667 51.361756 68.476131 89.388516 113.848984 141.190089 173.705882
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 31.381171 46.777033 65.240082 88.374667 115.995949 147.388509 185.251019
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 28.202268 44.356243 64.273239 89.758394 120.698513 156.332442 199.786091
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 25.686956 42.501137 63.771864 91.508046 125.680166 165.490979 214.496639
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 22.399343 39.296057 61.302173 90.599429 127.271066 170.516332 224.275047
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 19.037509 35.653157 57.991028 88.390032 127.068388 173.246441 231.218357
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 18.083870 35.333949 58.997792 91.642281 133.592858 184.049438 247.763107
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 16.905223 34.565006 59.311854 93.932840 138.875589 193.334763 262.504042
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 14.778979 32.157255 57.215948 92.924065 139.886109 197.333696 270.836113
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 12.779675 29.770834 55.033229 91.727099 140.631417 201.027700 278.869714
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 11.374023 28.204002 53.921046 91.901512 143.097792 206.833914 289.482749
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 10.132408 26.775413 52.909036 92.131900 145.577577 212.619067 300.050780
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.154911 25.701579 52.350585 92.936078 148.775009 219.288111 311.707867
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.864612 23.893193 50.553219 91.897249 149.452599 222.720462 319.325883
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.217271 23.234718 50.497909 93.314755 153.403916 230.317130 332.138701
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.698874 22.772013 50.716814 95.106787 157.853660 238.558216 345.778297
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.731860 21.247008 49.124106 94.176199 158.546463 241.933271 353.295149
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.660169 19.302859 46.705251 91.913018 157.325728 242.769551 357.564816
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 4.550702 19.554811 48.004033 95.244261 163.865966 253.730861 374.687673
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 4.302188 19.440758 48.656503 97.589811 169.039248 262.922049 389.591045